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FX markets are shifting into a more constructive, risk-on tone, with the Australian Dollar leading gains across the board. Strength in AUD pairs reflects improving sentiment and bullish technical momentum, while the New Zealand Dollar remains supported following the RBNZ’s steady policy stance. Meanwhile, EUR/USD is also pushing higher, signaling broader USD softness in the near term.
AUD/USD is advancing toward the multi-year high near 0.7190, supported by strong bullish momentum. The pair continues to benefit from improving risk appetite and sustained upside pressure.
• Geopolitical Risks: Easing risk aversion supports pro-cyclical currencies like AUD.
• US Economic Data: Softer USD tone allows AUD to push higher.
• FOMC Outcome: Reduced hawkish pressure from the Fed supports upside in AUD/USD.
• Trade Policy: Stable conditions favor commodity-linked currencies.
• Monetary Policy: RBA outlook remains relatively supportive.
• Trend: Strong bullish
• Resistance: 0.7190 (multi-year high)
• Support: 0.7100 – 0.7050
• Forecast: Further upside likely with potential test of 0.7190.
• Market Sentiment: Bullish
• Catalysts: Risk sentiment, USD direction, commodity prices
AUD/JPY is gaining momentum and holding above its 100-day EMA, reinforcing a bullish outlook. The pair reflects strong demand for risk assets against a relatively weaker Yen.
• Geopolitical Risks: Reduced safe-haven demand weighs on JPY.
• US Economic Data: Indirect influence via global risk sentiment.
• FOMC Outcome: Supports broader risk appetite.
• Trade Policy: Stable trade outlook benefits AUD.
• Monetary Policy: BoJ remains accommodative, pressuring JPY.
• Trend: Bullish
• Resistance: 96.50 – 97.50
• Support: 94.50 – 93.80
• Forecast: Continued upside while above 100-day EMA.
• Market Sentiment: Bullish
• Catalysts: Risk appetite, BoJ signals
AUD/NZD is edging lower toward the 1.2150 level following the RBNZ’s decision to keep rates unchanged. The Kiwi is showing resilience, narrowing the strength gap with AUD.
• Geopolitical Risks: Limited direct impact.
• US Economic Data: Secondary influence.
• FOMC Outcome: Indirect impact via USD direction.
• Trade Policy: Stable conditions across both economies.
• Monetary Policy: RBNZ holding rates supports NZD relative to AUD.
• Trend: Mild bearish
• Resistance: 1.2200 – 1.2250
• Support: 1.2150 – 1.2100
• Forecast: Slight downside bias as NZD stabilizes.
• Market Sentiment: Neutral to slightly bearish
• Catalysts: RBNZ outlook, relative central bank expectations
EUR/USD has climbed above the 1.1650 level, supported by a bullish technical reversal and improving momentum. The pair is benefiting from a softer USD backdrop.
• Geopolitical Risks: Limited impact, with focus on monetary divergence.
• US Economic Data: Moderation in USD strength supports EUR.
• FOMC Outcome: Less aggressive Fed outlook weighs on USD.
• Trade Policy: No major developments.
• Monetary Policy: ECB stability supports the Euro.
• Trend: Bullish reversal
• Resistance: 1.1700 – 1.1750
• Support: 1.1600 – 1.1550
• Forecast: Further upside likely if momentum holds.
• Market Sentiment: Bullish
• Catalysts: USD weakness, ECB signals
NZD/USD is holding gains near the 0.5800 level following the RBNZ’s decision to keep rates unchanged. The pair is supported by improved sentiment and policy stability.
• Geopolitical Risks: Lower risk aversion supports NZD.
• US Economic Data: Softer USD tone benefits upside.
• FOMC Outcome: Reduced USD strength aids NZD/USD.
• Trade Policy: China-linked outlook remains important.
• Monetary Policy: RBNZ steady stance supports the Kiwi.
• Trend: Bullish
• Resistance: 0.5850 – 0.5900
• Support: 0.5750 – 0.5700
• Forecast: Further gains possible while above 0.5750.
• Market Sentiment: Bullish
• Catalysts: RBNZ outlook, risk sentiment, USD movement
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